Executive Summary
The Australian equity market is showing a sharper split between companies with asset-backed growth, scalable platforms and visible operating leverage, and companies whose earnings remain exposed to speculation, cyclicality or weaker software economics.
The key market signal is not that investors are blindly paying for “AI exposure”. The market is becoming more selective. Capital is flowing toward companies that either control scarce infrastructure, own mission-critical platforms, or can show that technology investment is translating into margins and cash flow.
This creates a clear portfolio framework for 2026:
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