Trump’s oil refinery bet and the Iran Shadow: What It Means for Australia

President Donald Trump’s endorsement of a massive new oil refinery investment in Texas has quickly become one of the most significant energy announcements of 2026, combining geopolitics, foreign investment and global oil supply dynamics in a way that is already influencing financial markets.

Reliance Industries’ proposed US$300 billion refinery complex signals renewed momentum behind the United States’ push for energy dominance, particularly as tensions with Iran continue to simmer around one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints.

Oil markets reacted immediately. Crude prices retreated below US$90 per barrel after recent spikes, easing concerns about an. . .

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